Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.963852 6.548536 7.192536 7.959605 8.855158 9.876162 11.140642
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.129983 5.927539 6.878122 8.115421 9.715832 11.764780 14.672840
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.527987 5.393238 6.475267 7.965671 10.030894 12.903257 17.431163
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.136119 5.042321 6.218689 7.914343 10.402816 14.123574 20.590015
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.790120 4.701887 5.919574 7.738068 10.532912 14.972577 23.384077
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.553357 4.478519 5.746667 7.704345 10.849638 16.156663 27.166162
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.352921 4.283867 5.589105 7.664037 11.134744 17.332297 31.399212
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.243147 4.204574 5.585894 7.853950 11.824424 19.401231 38.635201
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.038912 3.973335 5.335182 7.614637 11.716891 19.877718 42.187467
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.853274 3.756990 5.089899 7.357399 11.535949 20.157367 45.378301
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.709940 3.594302 4.914914 7.200001 11.518310 20.788318 50.072069
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.598465 3.472528 4.794700 7.123785 11.645282 21.781984 56.760369
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.577427 3.494390 4.916324 7.510357 12.825017 25.866491 80.836293
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.504661 3.433279 4.901078 7.653325 13.542806 29.144372 108.678262
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.388095 3.295647 4.747168 7.516040 13.607970 30.585298 130.022659
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.297757 3.194145 4.646272 7.468960 13.874696 32.799692 164.876600
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.196104 3.068783 4.495569 7.307176 13.835209 33.996073 196.870042
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.123534 2.986683 4.414207 7.276208 14.118545 36.523453 260.829200
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.055554 2.908458 4.334179 7.239185 14.380852 39.155154 354.956487
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.023369 2.887472 4.354169 7.413548 15.251442 44.972020 641.925272
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.937833 2.773158 4.198160 7.193802 14.976001 45.417851 786.023599
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.855259 2.660706 4.040071 6.957280 14.618320 45.333074 929.210470
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.790087 2.575246 3.927445 6.812395 14.510278 46.529547 1271.630446